4 weeks ago

    HBAR Price Prediction

    Table of contents

      Hedera Hashgraph network is a decentralized ledger built on the hashgraph consensus algorithm. Contrary to traditional blockchain networks, Hedera’s hashgraph is designed to offer a faster, cheaper, and more energy-efficient alternative. The goal of Hedera is to prove itself as the solution to the key challenges that have slowed the mass adoption of distributed ledger technologies. The five main challenges that Hedera is trying to solve are network performance, security, governance, stability, and regulatory compliance. Unlike most other crypto projects, Hedera’s governing council is composed of leading global enterprises, such as BitGo, Boeing, Deutsche Telekom, IBM, Ubisoft, and LG. At the time of writing, Hedera’s governing council is made up of 34 major global enterprises, and they are actively looking for new council members. 

      The role of HBAR in Hedera Hashgraph is crucial as Hedera requires HBAR to serve as the backbone of their network. HBAR serves three purposes in the network: 

      • Used for transactions – micro, macro, and fees
      • Used as a means to secure the platform through its proof-of-stake mechanism
      • Used for governance

      Throughout this article, we will discuss everything about Hedera Hashgraph and the role that HBAR has on this network. Moreover, we will evaluate the fundamentals of HBAR, its rate of adoption, notable partnerships, use cases, and everything that has or will affect the price of the token in the future – be that negatively or positively. 

      What is Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR)?

      Hedera vs. Traditional Blockchains

      Hedera Hashgraph differs a lot from the traditional blockchains we are used to. Even the consensus mechanism used by hashgraph is different from the ones used by Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and different industry leaders. This different approach makes Hedera Hashgraph stand out and outperform its competitors.

      1. Consensus Mechanism

      Hedera Hashgraph uses virtual voting and a gossip protocol to achieve consensus. This allows Hedera to include all transactions in a ledger and not be limited to a linear chain – often seen in traditional blockchains. The integration of a gossip protocol allows the hashgraph to achieve consensus more rapidly and consistently than other blockchains.

      Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana, Hedera’s hashgraph achieves Asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerance (aBFT), the highest standard of security in distributed networks. This eliminates the risk of a 51% attack, a serious threat to Bitcoin’s PoW consensus mechanism, as well as DDoS attacks, the ones that cause Solana to have network outages now and then.

      2. Speed

      As a 3rd generation public ledger, Hedera’s hashgraph achieves up to 10,000 transactions per second (TPS). On top of that, transactions on Hedera have an average latency of 2.9 seconds. This means that it takes 2.9 seconds for a transaction to reach finality once submitted to the network.

      Other 3rd generation public ledgers like Solana have achieved maximum scalability of 65,000 transactions per second in a closed testing environment. However, they have only reached 5% of that in real TPS, translating to an average of 3,000 transactions per second.

      Traditional 1st and 2nd generation blockchains reach a significantly lower amount of TPS. Bitcoin, for example, can process 7 transactions per second on average. Ethereum, a 2nd generation blockchain, can process up to 30 transactions per second.

      3. Scalability

      In recent years, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana have all experienced major scalability issues. This is mainly because of the linear nature of the blockchain. Because each block of data is inserted linearly, a surge in transaction volume can cause congestion in the network, slowing it indefinitely. Hedera’s Hashgraph does not operate linearly, minimizing the risk of congestion and allowing every transaction container (block) into the ledger without sacrificing performance.

      What is HBAR?

      HBAR is the native token of Hedera Hashgraph, powering every transaction that happens on the network. This token has three main use cases on the Hedera Hashgraph:

      1. Transaction Processing: As a native token, HBAR is used to fuel every transaction happening on the hashgraph. It is used to pay fees for transaction processing, including smart contract execution, data storage, crypto transfers, and any other micro or macro form of transaction on the network.
      2. Network Governance: HBAR holders gain voting power on the platform. Each holder can stake their HBAR to participate in network governance by voting on different proposals. This contributes to a more decentralized decision-making process.
      3. Staking: Hedera Hashgraph uses a Proof-of-Stake network, allowing holders to stake their tokens to participate in the consensus mechanism. Users are rewarded with HBAR in the process, as staking increases the security of the network.

      HBAR Price Performance

      Hedera’s HBAR joined the market in late 2019 and reached its all-time low just a few months after launch, dropping to a price of $0.01 per token. Shortly after, HBAR’s price surged to $0.06 per token, with its market cap reaching $200 million. Fast forward to September 2021, Hedera started getting recognition, resulting in HBAR reaching an all-time high of $0.57, with a market cap of $6.60 billion.

      HBAR was not in the spotlight during 2024, resulting in less drastic price action. The token entered this year with a price of $0.085 and hit a yearly high in May, trading at $0.15 per piece. During the first week of September, the token hit its yearly low, trading at $0.047 per token. As of writing, HBAR is trading at $0.054 per token. 

      HBAR Market Analysis and Current Trends

      While HBAR has not been the best performer this year, CoinMarketCap reports that the community remains bullish. Throughout the year, HBAR had an average daily trading volume between $30 million – $100 million, with one exception being the 4th week of April. During the last week of April, HBAR reached a weekly trading volume of $5.57 billion. At the time of writing, HBAR has a market capitalization of $2.03 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of $26 million.

      Compared to other leading Layer-1 projects, Hedera is struggling to catch up, despite being in the market for over 4 years. The average daily trading volume for HBAR in 2024 was $80 million, compared to Solana’s $3.6 billion and Ethereum’s leading $15.8 billion. A similar pattern is observed with average weekly volumes: HBAR averages $560 million, while Solana reaches $25 billion, and Ethereum tops the list with $71 billion. In terms of monthly trading volume, HBAR averages $2.2 billion, while both Solana and Ethereum surpass $100 billion.

      Average Trading Volume of Solana, Ethereum, and Hedera Comparison

      Real-World Use Cases of Hedera

      Hedera is often considered one of the best EVM-compatible Distributed Ledger Technologies (DLTs) for real-world adoption. This is mostly because of their hashgraph consensus mechanism, as well as their background. The hashgraph can be used for different industries, including but not limited to, finance, supply chain, identity management, and tokenization

      The four main use cases that are most likely going to play a major role in Hedera’s future are:

      1. Supply Chain Management: Companies like Walmart and DHL are already using DLTs for increased traceability on their supply chain. The corporations that are part of Hedera’s governing council are likely to integrate DLTs into their supply chain management as well. Whenever this happens, the obvious choice would be Hedera, a DTt they already work with.
      2. Real-World Asset Tokenization (RWA): One of the main trends in the crypto industry right now is the tokenization of real-world assets. Hedera is the ideal platform for any company looking for tokenization services mainly because of its Hedera Token Service (HTS). Through this service, enterprises looking to tokenize their real-world assets can do so seamlessly while having full control over the process.
      3. Decentralized Identity Management: Identity management is another crucial process that DLTs, especially hashgraph, can improve. Through Hedera’s Consensus Service and File Storage, users, as well as other entities in the market, can create identities that are verifiable and trusted while maintaining privacy. Earth ID, a dApp that’s already building on Hedera is already using these services.
      4. Micropayments: Hedera’s network is fast and cheap, making it a good choice for micropayments. Assuming that the majority of the companies that are members of the governing council of Hedera integrate hashgraph, the use of HBAR will increase as more and more HBAR will be used to pay for fees.

      The Hedera Council & Partnerships

      There is a common misconception when people discuss Hedera’s partners and partnerships. Hedera is governed by 34 leading global enterprises, including the likes of Google, IBM, and Ubisoft. So, when these member enterprises use Hedera’s services, hashgraph, or solutions, it doesn’t translate to a new partnership.

      World Map of Hedera’s Node Locations

      Some of the notable ways Hedera Hashgraph partners with its governing enterprises are using their already existing products to test and develop. For example, Hedera has been using Google Cloud as a cloud provider for its public testnets. Moreover, in 2023, Hedera announced that they would be offering support to startups as part of the Web3 startup program that Google hosts.

      Factors Influencing the Market Performance of HBAR

      Essentially, the key factors that influence any cryptocurrency’s price are market sentiment, regulatory environment, supply and demand, utility, adoption rate, competition, and partnerships.

      For the sake of the article, we will separate these factors into three main groups. This will help us evaluate the standing of Hedera’s token, HBAR, in each group, giving us a more accurate price prediction for HBAR.

      HBAR Market Dynamics

      Market Sentiment: Hedera Hashgraph has a positive market sentiment overall, with HBAR being a widely supported token in the market. Ever since 2021, the community of HBAR has been bullish and there have been little to no FUD campaigns against the token. Nevertheless, one of the few flaws that this project has and that the community has been vocal about is fear of centralization. While 34 global enterprises govern Hedera, the community still feels that the power of governance should be left to the holders, not enterprises and corporations.

      Supply and Demand: As for supply and demand, there is growing demand for the token, and this is likely to keep growing, considering that the majority of the governing enterprises will be testing and potentially operating within Hedera. This will push the demand higher, resulting in positive price action. With demand increasing, and the supply being capped to 50 billion, Hedera will become deflationary. This, as seen in other projects, will also have a positive impact on price performance.

      Competition: In essence, Hedera is a Layer-1, just like Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano. While the native tokens of all three L1s mentioned above have historically performed better than HBAR, that doesn’t necessarily mean that this will be the case in the future as well. Cardano, for one, is already considered a dead chain by many. So, while Hedera is underperforming them at the moment, the tide might change in its favor, especially because of the technology that Hedera uses to reach consensus and the enterprises that are backing it.

      Hedera Hashgraph Regulatory Compliance

      While Hedera does not have a clear regulatory roadmap, they are heavily invested in being compliant with international and regional regulatory frameworks. One of the main reasons for this is, again, the governing council. The likes of Google, Ubisoft, IBM, and Boeing, are very familiar with regulatory compliance and know the risks associated with not respecting regulations. Thus, we believe that Hedera might have the upper hand when it comes to regulatory compliance when compared to its competitors. 

      Additionally, Hedera’s infrastructure allows for controlled mutability, which aids compliance with regulations like the European Union’s General Data Privacy Regulations (GDPR). Its infrastructure also offers the necessary tools for the potential integration of KYC and AML processes to every exchange or DeFi protocol built on it. Although crypto regulations remain a “gray area,” Hedera is more prepared for any regulatory framework that might come shortly than most of its competitors.

      HBAR Utility and Growth Potential

      With the main use cases of HBAR being network governance, transaction fees, and staking, the token’s price is heavily dependent on network usage. Now, let’s say some of the council members decide to integrate Hedera’s hashgraph into their services. If they were to actively build on the platform, it could significantly boost the price of HBAR. There would likely be a demand surge for the token, as its use is required for network transactions and application fees. This level of adoption would not only enhance Hedera’s ecosystem but also strengthen market confidence in HBAR as a utility token, potentially strengthening the positive investor sentiment as well.

      What to Expect from HBAR in 2025

      The cryptocurrency market is on the verge of entering this cycle’s bull run. With the Bitcoin halving event happening back in April 2024, the market is heading onto new highs with full force. Based on historical data, crypto bull cycles often start 6-8 months after the Bitcoin halving and continue throughout the following year. 

      This year, we already saw huge price movements before the halving, but in general, the market behaved similarly, if not identical, to how it performed during the previous cycles. Many altcoins reached new all-time highs, and many others had price surges but failed to reach new all-time highs. HBAR belongs to the latter. 

      Why HBAR Won’t Reach $1 in 2025

      Despite not reaching a new all-time high price-wise, HBAR nearly hit a new all-time high regarding market capitalization. In essence, what this means is that the circulating supply of HBAR in September 2021 was lower, and the token hit a price of $0.57 with a market capitalization of $7.16 billion. In May 2024, HBAR’s market cap surged to $6.49 billion, but the price of the token only reached $0.18. Because of the high percentage of tokens released in circulation from 2021 until today, HBAR will need a market capitalization of ~$21.46 billion to hit a price of $0.57 per token again.

      HBAR Circulating Supply, Market Cap, Price Over the Years

      Projected Price for HBAR in 2025

      The first and second quarters of 2025 are likely to be bullish for the entire crypto market. By the end of January, HBAR is likely to be trading somewhere between $0.08 and $0.10. By the end of the first quarter, HBAR is likely to hit a new all-time high in regards to market cap, potentially reaching a market capitalization between $18 billion and $22 billion. This would leave HBAR with a price of ~$0.53 per token. As per usual, the market is likely going to dip as we enter the month of June, and the downtrend could continue until September. Similar to most years, Q4 of 2025 is likely going to be bullish for HBAR as well, with its market capitalization potentially reaching another all-time high between $23 billion and $30 billion, giving it a potential price all-time high of $0.60.

      HBAR Price Prediction for 2025 and Beyond

      Factors Supporting HBAR Price Prediction for 2025

      This price prediction is based on three main factors: the historical crypto market cycles, the typical patterns of corporate activity, and the POTUS Inauguration Day.

      Historical Crypto Market Cycles: Historically, ever since Bitcoin went live, market cycles played out in a relatively similar pattern. Every four years, a few months after the Bitcoin halving event, the market turns insanely bullish. After this bullish period, there is another even more aggressive bearish period – the higher it goes, the harder it falls. Then, a year before the Bitcoin halving, the market slowly starts to recover, and the cycle repeats itself. There is no indication that this cycle will be different from the past cycles.

      Typical Patterns of Corporate Activity: Because Hedera is governed by global enterprises, HBAR’s price is directly affected by typical patterns of corporate activity. The first and last quarters of the year typically go in correlation with increased corporate activity and strategic announcements. Some of the biggest announcements that the HBAR Foundation has made until today were done during Q1s and Q4s, and that remains the case as global enterprises work that way traditionally.

      Inauguration Day: The POTUS Inauguration Day happens every four years, two months after the elections are held in the United States of America. US elections play a very important role in all markets worldwide, and the cryptocurrency market is no exception. The Inauguration Day is the day when the winner of the election is celebrated in the U.S. Capitol building and is scheduled to happen on January 20, 2025.

      Long-Term Outlook for HBAR in 2030

      Unlike most cryptocurrency projects, Hedera is likely to survive in the long run. The biggest risk, one that cannot be foreseen, is regulatory compliance. As long as Hedera and its native token HBAR comply with international regulatory frameworks, then they are in the clear. Hedera’s hashgraph is an amazing technology, the project is backed by fintech giants, and the community is somewhat active. 

      As for 2030, HBAR might not be performing at its best, mainly because we have a Bitcoin halving event two years before 2030. Based on the historical cycle pattern, there’s a high chance that the market will be bearish during that year.

      Predicted Price for HBAR in 2030

      During 2030, HBAR could trade at an average of $0.70 per token, hitting a yearly low during Q1 2030 and then recovering and hitting a yearly high of around $0.90 by the end of Q4. Considering that the combined market capitalization of Hedera’s governing council is over $3 trillion, and assuming that by 2030 most of those entities will integrate the hashgraph one way or the other, HBAR can easily reach a market capitalization of $45 billion.

      Keep in mind that using the hashgraph is mutually exclusive to using HBAR for transactions and network fees. This will drive up demand and price simultaneously. The opportunity market of Hedera is over $1 trillion if we are being realistic. However, because full-scale adoption and hashgraph integration might take up to a decade, HBAR’s market capitalization might bounce between $35 to $60 billion in the upcoming years.

      HBAR Price Prediction for 2030 Monthly Breakdown
      HBAR Price Prediction for 2030

      Macro Trends and Market Factors Influencing 2030 Price

      Historical Crypto Market Cycles: As stated in the HBAR price prediction for 2025, the crypto market is designed to have 4-year cycles. It’s a fundamental law of the crypto market to perform in such a manner, mainly because of Bitcoin’s halving mechanism. Based on historical patterns, 2030 is likely going to be the year when the market slowly bleeds and eventually reaches a bottom.

      Full-Scale Adoption: While the cryptocurrency market tends to respect the 4-year pattern almost always, the dips are likely going to be smaller as time passes by. This is because the cryptocurrency market is growing. As more money comes in, a few billion dollars of outflow will not be that tragic for any major token. Full-scale adoption, especially for projects with institutional backing like Hedera, is imminent. This will make Hedera more stable than the majority of the projects in the market. One example of such an asset is Ripple’s XRP, which has been sitting at a market capitalization of around $25 billion for years.

      Regional and Global Relations: Since the pandemic in 2020, there have been multiple serious regional and global threats. These threats have affected the political and economic state of the world, with inflation rising almost everywhere and the standard of living declining. This has led to reduced investments and a stagnation in money flow. However, by 2030, these issues might be overcome. Regional conflicts, such as those in the Middle East and the one between Russia and Ukraine, are likely to come to an end, and the United States economy is expected to stabilize. These factors will play a major role in how the crypto market behaves.

      What Analysts Are Saying About HBAR

      More Crypto Online Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) Price Prediction

      One of the biggest cryptocurrency YouTubers, More Crypto Online, has made several videos regarding Hedera Hashgraph and its token, HBAR. In a recent video, he conducted a technical analysis of the token. According to his analysis, if HBAR breaks through the $0.075 resistance level, it could rise to between $0.30 and $0.41, likely by the end of Q2 2025. After reaching this target, HBAR is expected to experience a price correction, dropping to $0.17 before rising again. By Q4 2025, HBAR could potentially reach a new all-time high, aiming for $0.92.

      Kyren Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) Price Prediction

      Kyren, an X (formerly known as Twitter) influencer, recently mentioned HBAR in one of his tweets. According to Kyren, Hedera’s HBAR, along with other notable cryptocurrency projects such as Render’s RNDR, deserve a bigger market capitalization than Litecoin (LTC). He believes that these projects offer way more to the market than Litecoin. His tweet highlights HBAR’s price if it had the current market capitalization of Litecoin, putting HBAR at a price of $0.13.

      CoinPedia Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) Price Prediction

      According to CoinPedia, a crypto news agency, HBAR will have a potential low of $0.04 and a potential high of $0.08 during 2025. This prediction is mostly based on a technical analysis made by their team. As for the long run, their HBAR forecast shows the token potentially hitting an all-time high of $0.17 by 2030.

      Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

      What is HBAR?

      HBAR is the governance and utility token of Hedera Hashgraph. This token is used for governance, transaction and network fees, and staking. Unlike the vast majority of crypto projects, HBAR does not operate on a blockchain but rather utilizes another Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) known as a hashgraph.

      Is HBAR a Good Investment for the Future?

      Yes. HBAR ticks all the boxes to be a good investment in the crypto industry. Having the support of the governing council, as well as solid tokenomics to keep a deflationary status, HBAR could experience a price increase. Hedera Hashgraph is working with its governing council to integrate its token in as many places as possible. Whenever that happens, the demand is poised to increase, directly affecting its price.

      How Does Hedera Hashgraph Differ from Blockchain Networks?

      Hedera Hashgraph uses a DLT known as a hashgraph, while other networks such as Ethereum and Solana use blockchain, a more widely-used type of DLT. The main difference between a blockchain and a hashgraph is the nature of storing information. While blockchain stores blocks of data in a linear way, similar to a chain, a hashgraph stores information containers (the equivalent of blocks) in a graph-like structure, eliminating the risk of congestion.

      Where Can I Buy HBAR?

      At the time of writing, you can buy HBAR on Binance, Coinbase Exchange, ByBit, OKX, Upbit, HTX, Gate.io, KuCoin, MEXC, Crypto.com, BingX, BitMart, LBank, XT.com, and several other smaller centralized exchanges.

      Final Thoughts on HBAR Price Prediction

      As Hedera Hashgraph continues to expand its real-world application and ecosystem, HBAR’s importance in the crypto market increases. Its unique consensus mechanism and governance model set it apart from most, if not all, major cryptocurrency projects. Additionally, the utility of HBAR within the network ensures ongoing demand, something that directly affects price performance. 

      In terms of infrastructure and backing, Hedera is one of the best projects in the industry. However, if we look at the tokenomics of HBAR, we can see that it will take a lot of investments to send its price to a new all-time high. With billions of HBAR yet to enter the market, the token is currently deflationary, changing to inflationary only when its circulating supply reaches 50 billion. The same can be said for its community. Until today, Hedera has had little to no community, and there has been a minimum effort by the team to build a strong, active community. 

      Keeping these factors in mind, HBAR is likely to reach a yearly high of around $0.60 in 2025, and a new all-time high between $0.90-$1.00 by the end of 2030. 

      Please remember to do your own research and only invest what you can afford to lose. This analysis is for informative and educative purposes only and should not serve as investment advice.

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